Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Small Cap Saskatchewan and Alberta Oil and Gas Stocks Pumping News (ALX, RPL, CNTO & SU)

Many American oil and gas investors are probably familiar with the major large and small cap players in the Bakken formation in North Dakota and Montana, but few American investors are probably familiar with the active players further to the north in the oil and gas rich Canadian provinces of Saskatchewan and Alberta with small cap stocks like Alexander Energy Ltd (CVE: ALX), Renegade Petroleum Ltd (CVE: RPL) and Centor Energy Inc (OTCBB: CNTO) along with large cap Suncor Energy Inc (NYSE: SU) being among those pumping out their share of noteworthy news lately. I should point out that Canada's oil reserves are ranked #3 after to Venezuela and Saudi Arabia with over 95% of these reserves being the controversial oil sands of Alberta while the neighboring province of Saskatchewan (which the Bakken formation actually stretches into) along with offshore areas of Newfoundland also containing substantial production and reserves. Moreover and excluding the oil sands, Alberta would have 39% of Canada's remaining conventional oil reserves, followed by offshore Newfoundland with 28% and Saskatchewan with 27%.

Keeping all that in mind, here is a look at some news being pumped out by some small cap Saskatchewan or Alberta oil and gas stocks along with some important industry news:

Record Year in the Saskatchewan Oil Patches. The Saskatchewan government said that last year was a record-setting year for the province's oil patch as oil production hit a new record of 177.9 million barrels or 487,400 barrels per day last year - up from a previous record of 172.9 million barrels or 472,500 barrels per day set in 2012. In addition, Saskatchewan set a new record for drilling activity, with 2,433 horizontal oil wells drilled last year which surpassed the previous record of 2,036 horizontal oil wells drilled in 2012 with the Lloydminster and Kindersley-Kerrobert areas accounting for almost two-thirds of all 2013 drilling. Are the Environmental Health Risks of Oil Sands Underestimated? A new study by the University of Toronto's environmental chemistry research group has supposedly found that the environmental health risks of oil sands has been underestimated. The group used computer models to study emissions estimates from environmental reports to predict chemical concentrations from direct oil sands industrial activity (e.g. mining, processing and vehicle traffic) and found the levels were lower than actually measured levels of chemicals in the air recorded in other scientific studies. The researchers then modified the computer model to factor in estimates of evaporation from oil sands tailing ponds with the results suggesting emissions may be two to three times higher than the estimates recorded in project environmental reviews – giving more fuel to oil sand critics. Suncor Energy Swings Into Profit Thanks to Oil Sands Projects in Northern Alberta. At the beginning of the week, large cap Suncor Energy (which is also Canada's largest integrated oil company) said fourth quarter net income came in at C$443 million verses a net loss of C$574 million. However and despite record oil sands production, results missed expectations (largely due to a third-party natural gas pipeline outage at its oil sands operations in northern Alberta that cut production 15,000 barrels a day) and the company cut its outlook for production this year due to lower projected output overseas. Suncor Energy is down around 8.3% over the past year and up 51.5% over the past five years.

Alexander Energy Completes an Asset Acquisition. Calgary based and TSX Venture Exchange listed small cap Alexander Energy has completed the acquisition of certain assets located in southeast Saskatchewan that was already announced on December 18, 2013. The assets were acquired for $32.5 million with an effective date of December 1, 2013 while Alexander Energy itself now has positive working capital of approximately $61 million and a predominately light oil production base of approximately 950 boe/d. More importantly, Alexander Energy has numerous growth opportunities across central Alberta and southeast Saskatchewan. For investors though, Alexander Energy is up some 233% over the past year and up 250% over the past five years.

Renegade Petroleum Settles a Messy Proxy Fight and Could Be For Sale. At the beginning of last week, small cap Renegade Petroleum announced a decisive victory over hedge fund FrontFour Capital Group LLC who withdrew their requisition for a special meeting of shareholders that had been scheduled for January 28, 2014 to meet their demands. According to the Calgary Herald, the hedge fund is based in Connecticut but managed by Zachary George, the son of former Suncor Energy Inc. CEO Rick George, whose Novo Investment Group supported the dissident proxy battle. Renegade Petroleum has since set a 2014 budget that analysts say is conservative and could be setting the company up for a possible corporate sale. Renegade Petroleum is down 62.4% over the past year and down 11% over the past five years.

Centor Energy Inc. Focused on world class oil shale resources in Pasquia Hills, Saskatchewan, small cap Centor Energy has just announced that has executed a $1.25 million loan agreement with a private lender Fortuitus Investments, Inc that will be used to complete the pending acquisition of the 55% working interest in the Pasquia Hills Oil Shale Project scheduled for February 16, 2014 as well as to complete a feasibility study to determine economic criteria for commerciality and refine an operational plan to extract the oil shale resource. As noted in a recent shareholder update, Centor Energy is close to closing a deal on a 55% interest in two leases (SHA0011 and SHA0013) comprising of 21,658 acres and potentially over 1.1 billion barrels of recoverable oil while Hatch Ltd., a leading global engineering consulting firm, has commenced an independent feasibility study to determine the economic criteria for commerciality. Centor Energy is up 120% over the past year.

Sunday, February 2, 2014

Bitcoin: A Joke or the Real Thing?

Print FriendlyBitcoin has crossed the $1,000 barrier.

Bitcoin is a virtual, decentralized currency that circumvents government regulation. It was the subject of two Senate hearings last week, and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said virtual currencies “may hold long-term promise.”

And the FBI recently shut down Silk Road, an online marketplace where sellers offered drugs, firearms and other illicit goods and services, taking Bitcoins as payment.

Bitcoin’s advocates aim to make it a universal electronic currency. By a wide margin, Bitcoin is the best known among dozens of alternatives, collectively known as altcoins. PeerCoin, Litecoin and Anoncoin are some other altcoins.

Probably the main reason for the Bitcoin buzz is its soaring value. A year ago, Bitcoin was worth a few dollars. In November alone, the price has climbed from $215 to $1,000 on Mt. Gox, the leading altcoin exchange. Meanwhile, Bitcoins were trading for $950 on Bitstamp, the second most popular exchange, and for $915 on BTC-e.

The supply of Bitcoins recently stood at 12 million, worth about $12 billion at recent prices.

SecondMarket’s Bitcoin Trust “invests” in Bitcoins. SecondMarket is an online security brokerage specializing in illiquid assets. And at least one mutual fund is in the works.

Bitcoin is actually both a digital currency and a payment system. To get Bitcoins, you have to first set up a “wallet,” probably online at a site such as Blockchain.info. You then pay a willing seller the necessary hard currency to transfer the coins into that wallet.

A growing number and variety of US merchants are starting to accept Bitcoins as payment.

The Silk Road closing highlighted a key Bitcoin attribute: theoretical user anonymity, which enables secret transactions of various kinds. A network keeps track of all transactions made using Bitcoins but it doesn’t know w! ho is using them or for what, just the computer “wallet” IDs. Yet every transaction is publicly available for anyone to examine in the “blockchain,” a global, permanent ledger.

Strangely, the government of China evidently has endorsed the use of Bitcoin. Some say it’s because of the hope that digital money will undermine the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency. A subsidiary of Baidu Inc. (NSDQ: BIDU), China’s top search engine, started to accept Bitcoins last month.

Bitcoin supporters contend that it some day could become an effective alternative to government currencies or a cheap way to move money around the world.

But Bitcoin’s manic price movements undermine its credibility as a currency. Real currencies usually have relatively stable values, making them good units of exchange. And Bitcoin already has numerous competitors.

In addition, the Bitcoin system evidently isn’t completely secure. Numerous thefts of Bitcoins from encrypted accounts have been reported. These inevitably will grow in number with Bitcoin’s popularity and, for now, value.

Bitcoin itself was invented in 2008 by one or more computer programmers using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. His, her or their identity is still unknown.

Altcoin values are set partly through complicated mathematical algorithms and partly by what people think they should be worth at any time.

Bitcoins are created, or “mined,” by rewarding computer operators who solve a mathematical algorithm that grows increasingly difficult, which in turn slows the supply growth of Bitcoins. An algorithm limits the total number of Bitcoins ever mined to 21 million units, which is expected to occur by 2140.

It is extremely likely that governments ultimately will aim to regulate Bitcoin if its market gets big enough. Money is a tool of the state. Governments will not allow creation of an independent world currency outside of their cont! rol.
Meanwhile, it seems that the main reason people are willing to pay rising prices for Bitcoin is because other people also are willing to. Just like the Dutch tulip mania of the 17th century, probably the biggest financial bubble of all time.